摘要
本文利用全国人口普查和经常性统计的有关资料,在不同的人口政策目标参数假设下,根据中国人口预测系统(CPPS)和人口生命表对今后45年中国人口老龄化的变化趋势进行了分析和预测。根据预测结果,通过较全面系统地分析中国社会养老保险体制的现状,指出了其存在的问题,特别是在中国人口老龄化快速发展趋势冲击下已经出现及可能出现的问题。在此基础上,提出了几点具有可操作性的改革和完善养老保险体制、退休及人口生育等方面的政策建议。
This paper has gotten the following conclusions： 1） Based upon China＇s national population census, regular statistics and by using China＇s Population Prospect System, some prospects about the population of China in next 45 years were done under different assumptions. 2） The current system of endowment insurance in China was described systematically, the problems which may accrued or will accrue, especially those with the shocks of population ageing trend were pointed out according to the results of the prospects.3） Some policy suggestions with implement table in the field of reforming of endowment insurance, retirement and population in China were discussed.
出处
《开放导报》
北大核心
2006年第4期29-34,共6页
China Opening Journal
关键词
人口老龄化
养老保险
预测分析
Population Ageing, Endowment Insurance Prospect and Analysis
