摘要
通过建立计算全要素生产率分析模型,对1952～2002年间中国统计数据进行分析,得出我国建国以来各年的全要素生产率及其增长率。我们发现改革开放之前,我国TFP增长率波动很大,TFP不仅没有增长,反而有所下降。改革开放初期,TFP增长率呈现出大起大落的状态。从1992～1998年,TFP有了明显的提高,其增长率连续几年都为正,这段时间TFP对产出增长的贡献高达22.22%。1998年到现在,TFP出现了负增长,TFP值有所下降,但幅度不大。
By establishing analysis model of total factor productivity, this paper collects China＇s statistical data during 1952- 2002 and estimates annual total factor productivity as well as its growth rate. The main conclusions are as follows： before the reform and opening up, China＇s total factor productivity fluctuated significantly and fell a little; during the early stage of the reform, there had been a lot of ups and downs in the total factor productivity; but during 1992-1998, the total factor productivity soared for seven years, and the contribution of the total factor productivity to output reached 22.22%; from 1998 till now, the total factor productivity growth is dropping slowly.
出处
《北京理工大学学报（社会科学版）》
2006年第5期88-91,97,共5页
Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology：Social Sciences Edition
基金
江苏省教育厅高校哲学社会科学基金(05SJD790020)
关键词
全要素生产率
经济增长
贡献
total factor productivity
economic growth
contribution
