摘要
根据海上机动目标运动特性,提出用灰色模型与自回归时序组合建模方法构建机动目标运动预测模型。依据此模型对双方火力控制区的变化进行预测,最后给出了海上机动目标威胁预警仿真系统的实现思路。解决了陆基常规导弹对抗海上机动目标群的作战保障工程的部分问题,具有较强的军事应用价值。
According to the movement character of maneuver targets on the sea, this paper presents that the movement forecast model of maneuver targets is built by the mean of combining the grey model with the self-regression time series AR. By the model, the change of mutual firepower control sections is forecast; finally it provides a thought of realizing the threat precaution simulating system of maneuver targets on the sea. Some problems, which lie in the campaign security work of Conventional Land-missile countermining the maneuver target group on the sea, are resolved. And this model deserves military applied value in practice.
出处
《火力与指挥控制》
CSCD
北大核心
2006年第12期83-86,共4页
Fire Control & Command Control
基金
第二炮兵武器装备预研资助项目(EP020143)
关键词
灰色模型
AR模型
机动目标群
威胁预警
仿真
grey model,AR model ,maneuver target group,threat early warning,simulate
