摘要
为进一步研究重大事故发生演化机理,在对典型重特大事故比较研究的基础上,应用系统动力学理论分析重大事故孕育、发生、发展和激变的动力学特征,认识重大事故行为过程及其主要影响因素,探讨重大事故闭环反馈系统的调控规律。作者建议应用系统动力学理论与方法建立决策实验室,以提高对重大事故风险控制水平。
To carry further research on the generative and evolutionary machine of major accidents, on the base of comparative studies of typical major, special major accidents, the paper applied the theory of system dynamics to analyze the dynamic characteristics of inoculation, generation, development and qualitative change of major accidents, to explore the behavioral process and main influence factors of major accidents and to probe into governing rules of closed loop feedback system of major accidents. The author proposed to apply the theory and methodology of system dynamics on establishig a decision - making laboratory to elevate the risk control ability of major accidents.
出处
《中国安全生产科学技术》
CAS
2006年第6期3-6,共4页
Journal of Safety Science and Technology
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(编号:70473018)
国家"十五"科技攻关课题(编号:2004BA803B05)资助
关键词
重大事故
系统动力学
动力学演化
major accidents
system dynamics
dynamic evolution
