摘要
在介绍灰色系统理论的基础上,讨论了等维递补预测原理,提出了电力系统中长期负荷预测的灰色等维递补预测动态模型,并利用某地区的历史负荷数据建模预测出了该地区1999—2009年的年负荷值。
Based on introducing the grey system theory, this paper discusses on the principle of the forecast of equidimensional filling vacancies, advances the dynamic model of grey forecasting of equidimensional filling vacancies in the medium-long term load forecasting of power system, and forecasts the yearly load value of this area in the period of 1999-2009 with the model established by using the historical load data of some areas.
出处
《科技情报开发与经济》
2007年第1期167-168,共2页
Sci-Tech Information Development & Economy
关键词
灰色理论
电力负荷预测
灰色等维递补预测模型
后验差检验
grey theory
power load forecasting
grey forecasting model of equidimensional filling vacancies
test alter test error
