摘要
应用模糊集理论描述R&D项目组合的模糊不确定性,引入模糊熵建立不确定条件下的R&D项目组合风险测度,进而提出不确定条件下R&D项目组合选择优化模型。运用定性可能性原理完成了模糊规划的清晰化过程,并结合算例进行了应用研究。
To deal with the fuzzy uncertainty in R&D portfolio, fuzzy set theory is applied to describe the uncertain data as fuzzy entropy is used to measure the portfolio risk. Based on the risk measurement model, the paper presents R&D portfolio selection model under uncertainty. To solve the fuzzy model, a crisp transformation is implemented based on qualitative possibility theory. Case study is implemented to illustrate model application.
出处
《预测》
CSSCI
2007年第2期68-71,共4页
Forecasting
基金
国家863计划基金资助项目(2002AA414060
2003AA411110)