我国城市规模分布Pareto指数测算及影响因素分析被引量：52

The Estimates and the Influential Factors of the Pareto Exponent of City Size Distributions in China

导出

摘要本文用OLS方法测算我国各省、三大区域以及全国的城市人口规模分布和经济规模分布Pareto指数(1997年、2000年和2003年),对Pareto指数进行跨区域和跨时间的对比分析,并实证分析我国城市规模分布的影响因素。分析表明,我国的城市规模分布显著地服从Pareto分布,并具有明显的结构性特征。工业化、产业结构以及运输能力对城市人口规模分布具有显著影响,而工业化和运输能力则是影响城市经济规模分布的重要因素。 This paper estimates the city size （population size and economy size） distribution Pareto exponents of provinces, three regions and state in China in 1997, 2000 and 2003 by OLS, comparatively analyzes the Pareto exponents cross section and times, and empirically analyzes the factors which impact on Pareto exponents of provinces. Our analysis shows that the size distributions of cities in China follow the Pareto distribution and are of structural features. Variations in the value of city population size distribution Pareto exponents are significantly explained by industrialization, industry structure and regional transportation infrastructure, and variations in the value of city economy size distribution Pareto exponents of provinces are significantly explained by industrialization and regional transportation infrastructure.

作者高鸿鹰武康平

机构地区清华大学经济管理学院

出处《数量经济技术经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2007年第4期43-52,共10页 Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

关键词城市发展规模分布 Pareto指数影响因素 City Development Size Distribution Pareto Exponent Influential Factors

分类号 F061.5 [经济管理—政治经济学]

引文网络
相关文献

参考文献14

1阿瑟·刘易斯(1954).《二元经济论》(中文版)[M],北京经济学院出版社,1989.
2王小鲁,夏小林.优化城市规模　推动经济增长[J].经济研究,1999,34(9):22-29. 被引量：422
3Fujita,M.and P.Krugman,1995,When is the Economy Moncentric?:Von Thünen and Chamberlin Unified[J],Regional Science and Urban Economics,Vol.25,No.4,PP505～528.
4Fujita,M.and J.-F.Thisse,2002,Economic of Agglomeration:Cities.Industrial Location,and Regional Growth[M],Cambridge:Cambridge University Press.
5Gabaix,X.,1999,Zipf's Law for Cities:An Explanation[J],Quarterly Journal of Economics,Vol.114,No.3,739～767.
6Ioannides,Y.M.and Overman,H.G.,2003,Zipf's Law for Cities:an Empirical Examination[J],Regional Science and Urban Economics,Vol.33,No.2,127 ～ 137.
7Krugman,P.,1991,Increasing Returns and Economic Geography[J],Journal of Political Economy,Vol.99,No.3,483～499.
8Krugman,P.,1994,Complex Landscapes in Economic Geography[J],The American Economic Review,Vol.84,No.2,412～416.
9Nitsch,V.,2005,Zipf Zipped[J],Journal of Urban Economics,Vol.57,No.1,86～100.
10Puga,D.and A.J.Venables,1996,The Spread of Industry:Spatial Agglomeration in Economic Development[J],Journal of the Japanese and International,Vol.10,No.4,440～464.