我国人口结构的变动对财政政策代际平衡状况的影响被引量：9

The Impact of Demographic Transition on China's Fiscal Policy from Generational Balance Perspective

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摘要人口因素是决定财政政策可持续性的重要因素之一,本文利用Auerbach(1991)提出的代际核算体系来分析人口因素对我国财政政策代际平衡状况的影响,结果显示提高城镇化速度是缓解我国财政政策代际不平衡的有效措施之一,而将生育率保持在可持续生育率水平对缓解财政政策的代际不平衡有帮助。 The impact of demographic transition on fiscal balance is very important. This paper considers the fiscal impact of demographic transition using the technique of generational accounting invoked by Auerbach et al (1991). It shows the fiscal imbalance could be improved by rapid urbanization. If the total fertility rate remains replacement fertility, the burden of future generations will be decreased heavily.

作者蒋云赟任若恩

机构地区北京航空航天大学经济管理学院

出处《财贸经济》 CSSCI 北大核心 2007年第5期39-44,共6页 Finance & Trade Economics

基金国家自然科学基金重点项目资助(项目名称:中国宏观经济中期发展建模:预测方法与应用研究项目号:70531010)

关键词代际核算代际平衡城镇化总和生育率 Generational Accounting, Generational Balance, Urbanization, Total Fertility Rate

分类号 C924.2 [社会学—人口学] F812.0 [经济管理—财政学]

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参考文献13

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