摘要
本文利用收集到的有关厦门市城镇调查失业登记的样本数据,应用生存模型中的非参数方法,分析了不同教育程度失业者在失业持续时间与再就业机会上的差异。通过比较分析我们得出了如下结果:在劳动力再就业市场上,最具有竞争力的是小学及中职(包括职业高中、普通中专、成人中专和技工学校)失业者,其失业持续时间最短,再就业概率最大,其次是大学及以上失业者,最后是初中和高中失业者;小学与中职失业者之间、初中与高中失业者之间在失业持续时间与再就业机会上的差异不具有统计显著。经验分析的结论表明,转变就业观念,择业不挑肥拣瘦,大力发展职业教育,提高劳动者职业技能,是促进再就业和构建和谐社会的重要途径。
By employing nonparametrie method of duration model and using Xiamen urban survey unemployment data, this paper comparatively analyses the difference of unemployment duration and reemployment probability among unemployed workers at various education levels. The empirical analysis finds： primary education and vocational education unemployed workers have the shortest unemployment duration and the highest reemployment probability, the second is university education unemployed worker, the last is middle education unemployed worker and high education unemployed worker. Nevertheless, the difference between primary education unemployed worker and vocational education unemployed worker and the difference between middle education unemployed worker and high education unemployed worker are not statistically significant. The empirical analysis also suggests that policies to increase reemployment and build harmonious society should focus on changing attitude toward reemployment and developing vocational education, enhancing the quality of laborers.
出处
《教育与经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2007年第2期21-25,共5页
Education & Economy
关键词
失业持续时间
生存模型
非参数分析法
风险函数
生存函数
unemployment duration
duration model
nonparametric method
hazard function
suvivor funtion
