摘要
历史上,欧美地缘政治力量的消长显示了五个方面的规律,这些对中国的崛起具有重要的启示意义。它们包括:维护独立统一的大陆主体地缘政治板块对于国家崛起和强大具有根本意义;根据国家现实利益调整战略联盟,同一个主要大国达成战略认同或默契但不与之持久结盟是大国世界治理的重要经验;切忌在战略上与两个大国同时作对,更不能四面出击;国家扩展的限度取决于其他国家的反制力度,而反制力度又取决于反制国家的大小、多少及其地理接近程度;国家利益与实力外交是理解西方国家谈判的基本语言和常识。
The growth and decline of the relative geopolitical strength of Europe and America in history sheds light on five rules that provide enlightenment for the rise of China. First, a nation’s rise and strength is important to safeguard the independence and unity of the main continental regional geopolitical bloc; second, it is important for great power global governance to adjust strategic alliances to a nation’s actual interests and to achieve strategic acknowledgment and consent of the major powers instead of maintaining permanent alliances; third, it is imperative not to enter into hostilities with the two major strategic powers, and furthermore not to launch an attack in all directions; fourth, the limits to a nation’s expansion depend on the counteracting strength of other nations, which depends on the number and the geographical positions of the counteracting countries; fifth, national interest and power diplomacy are the basic language and common sense of negotiations with the West.
出处
《世界经济与政治》
CSSCI
北大核心
2007年第7期45-56,共12页
World Economics and Politics
基金
国家科技部软科学研究计划资助项目"中国区域安全战略研究"的阶段性成果
