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基于蒙特卡罗模拟法在变电站风险评估中的研究 被引量:7

Research of Substation Risk Assessment Based on Monte Carlo Simulation
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摘要 变电站的风险评估工作对整个电网的安全运行有着非常重要的意义。通过对一个典型变电主接线电路的分析,对变电站的停运、在修、正常工作几个工作状态采用蒙特卡罗模拟法进行元件失效建模。着重研究了系统的连通性、状态切换等几个问题,并结合电网模型对状态枚举算法提出了优化策略。 Substation risk assessment has a very important significance for the safe operation of the whole network. Based on the main wiring circuit analysis of a typical substation, component failure model is established for substation outage, repairing, and normal working by stratified state enumeration method. Mainly studied the system connectivity, the status switching and so on, and putting forward the optimization algorithm for state enumeration method combined with the power network model.
出处 《科学技术与工程》 2007年第22期5890-5892,5901,共4页 Science Technology and Engineering
关键词 蒙特卡罗模拟法 电力系统 风险评估 失效模型 Monte Carlo simulation power system risk assessment failure mode
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