摘要
自然条件较好的中西部大城市扩大人口规模非常必要,但多数城市人口规模一直变化不大。通过对相关变量做因子分析、向量自回归分析、格兰杰因果检验,得出影响城市人口增长的主次要因素和长短期因素以及格兰杰因果关系,并运用相关理论做出解释,据此总结出一些有意义的结论。
It is very necessary to enlarge the scale of population big cities with good natural conditions in central and western china. However,the scale's change of most cities's population is always slim. On the basis of the variable's factor analysis and vectors' regress analysis and test of granger ,the paper finds out main factors and minor factors, long factors and short factors and the correlate of Granger causality. According to the finds, the paper sums up some significative conclusions and Suggestions about Speeding up the urbanization in central and western areas of china.
出处
《市场与人口分析》
CSSCI
2007年第5期17-23,共7页
Market & Demographic Analysis
关键词
城市人口
人口增长
因子分析
向量自回归
中西部地区
urban population
population growth
factor analysis
variable's factor analysis
cen- tral and western areas of china