摘要
我国国内的油气资源严重不足和原油进口量的逐年增加,使国内面临严重的油气安全问题。因此,开发海外油气资源,实现油气进口多元化,将是今后我国石油公司的战略重点。基于国际油气勘探开发活动与国内相比,具有综合性风险高、投资回收期长等特点,应用蒙特卡罗模型进行国际油气勘探开发项目的风险管理研究,量化勘探风险,指出对我国石油公司乃至其他外国石油公司从事国际油气勘探开发项目,具有重要的指导意义。
With severe shortage of domestic resources and petroleum importing increasing annually, China is faced with oil and gas safety problem, In order to realize the multi-import of oil and gas for safety, developing overseas oil and gas resources will be the strategic strong point for Chinese oil company. Compared with domestic exploration and development situation, the international one has many special characteristics, such as high risk, long recycle time and so on. So the research on the basis of Monte Carlo model quantifying the risk of international exploration and development project. It plays a very important role in oil and gas practice for Chinese oil projects as well as other foreign oil companies.
出处
《科技与管理》
CSSCI
2008年第1期46-48,共3页
Science-Technology and Management
关键词
油气勘探
项目投资
蒙特卡罗模型
风险管理
oil and gas exploration
project investment
Monte Carlo model
risk management
