摘要
本文根据新疆1990年-2005年的统计数据,利用协整理论和格兰杰(Granger)因果关系检验对新疆国内生产总值、投资和进出口贸易之间的关系进行分析。结果表明新疆国内生产总值与投资及进出口之间存在长期稳定的关系,投资和出口增长是拉动经济增长的原因,而经济增长却不是拉动投资、进出口增长的原因。
Based on the statistics of 1990 -2005 in Xinjiang, and using the co - integration theory and Granger causality relationship test, the paper analyzes the relationship among investment, export, import and GDP in Xinjiang. The results show that there is long- term equilibrium among investment, export, import and GDP in Xinjiang. Investment and export growth are seen as the reason for economic growth, but economic growth isn＇t seen as the reason for investment, import and export growth.
出处
《新疆财经》
2008年第2期48-50,共3页
Finance & Economics of Xinjiang
