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股票市场的非线性结构与混沌效应检验--基于BDS与CR方法 被引量:11

Testing Nonlinear Structure and Chaos Effect of Chinese Stock Markets Based on BDS and CR Methods
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摘要 在传统研究方法的基础上,运用Rosenstein提出的小数据量算法计算最大李雅普诺夫指数,进而引入BDS与返回临近检验(CR),从不同角度对中国股票市场的混沌动力学结构进行分析.为了避免破坏混沌吸引子的分形结构,采用对数线性趋势消除法(LLD)进行数据处理.研究结果表明,中国股市具有低维混沌吸引子、对初值敏感依赖性、准周期性等显著的非线性混沌特征.并就市场混沌的经济含义与应用价值进行了探讨. Based on the analysis of the traditional methods, the small data algorithm originated by Rosenstein was introduced to calculate the maximum Lyapunov exponent, and two types of tests-BDS and close return (CR) were used to further analyze the dynamical characteristic of chaotic of Chinese stock markets. For avoiding destroying the fractal structure, we utilized a special method of log-linear detrended (LLD) to process the sample data. The conclusions indicate that the notable chaos dynamics characteristic appear to exhibit in Chinese stock markets, such as a low dimensionality chaos attractor, sensitive dependence on initial values, quasi-periodicity. And the economical implication and application value of chaos was also investigated.
出处 《湖南大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2008年第5期85-88,共4页 Journal of Hunan University:Natural Sciences
基金 国家自然科学基金资助项目(70471030) 国家社会科学基金资助项目(030JBY56) 教育部博士点基金资助项目
关键词 混沌理论 非线性分析 对数线性趋势消除法 BDS检验 返回临近检验 chaos theory nonlinear analysis logarithm linear detrended analysis BDS test close return test
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参考文献8

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二级参考文献33

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