摘要
新经济增长理论的"内生增长"理论提出了技术对经济增长的重要性,作为发展中国家的中国,获得外部技术来源是在当前产品生命周期日益缩短的形势下发展经济的捷径,而FDI正是外部技术来源的最好的载体。本文在理论综述的基础上,针对国内外学者对FDI研究的新思路即FDI技术溢出的"门槛效应",通过VAR模型基于Johansen协整分析、格兰杰因果检验、向量误差修正模型和方差分解的方法对中国的国内生产总值GDP、未与人力资本结合的FDI的技术溢出FG和与人力资本结合的FDI的技术溢出HG的对数的关系进行了实证研究,来分析与人力资本结合的FDI的技术溢出和未与人力资本结合的FDI的技术溢出对经济增长的作用,并针对实证分析的结果提出了相应的对策建议。
Inter - growth theories of the new economic growth put forward the importance of technique to economic growth. As a developing country, acquiring the exterior technique source is better way for economy development under the situation of current shortened product life cycle and the FDI is exactly the exterior technique source. On the base of the theories overview, this article analyzes the effects of spillover of FDI with manpower capital and FDI without manpower capital to Chinese economic development by using the new ideas of the domestic and international scholars that is the development threshold of FDI through the VAR model employing the Johausen Cointegration Test, Granger Causality Tests and Variance Decomposition. On this foundation, the author also proposes own advises.
出处
《黑龙江对外经贸》
2008年第5期11-13,共3页
Heilongjiang Foreign Economic Relations and Trade
