中国煤矿安全规制效果实证研究被引量：36

An Empirical Study on Effects of Coal Mine Safety Regulation in China

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摘要本文在煤矿安全规制效果理论分析基础上,采用VAR模型实证检验中国煤矿安全规制效果。研究结果表明,中国煤矿安全规制在长期是有效的,体现在长期可以显著降低煤炭百万吨死亡率。但是,这种有效性在短期内会被煤矿工人的逆向行为所抵消,从而意味着规制机构在煤矿安全规制中面临短期效果和长期效果之间的权衡。实证分析还发现,煤炭产量增加在短期内会降低煤炭百万吨死亡率,而在长期则会提高煤炭百万吨死亡率。在上述实证结果基础上,本文提出了改善中国煤矿安全规制效果的政策建议。 The paper mainly analyses effects of coal mine safety regulation in China based on VAR model. The results show that it is effective in long term for coal mine safety regulation which can be represented by large reduction on mortality rate per million tons. However, the effectiveness may be offset by the artificial adverse behavior in short term so that there are some trade-offs between long term and short term effects facing regulatory institutions. Furthermore, it is found by our empirical study that increase on coal outputs will lower the mortality rate per million tons in short term whilst it will heighten that rate in long term. Finally, some possible suggestions are provided to improve the effects of coal mine safety regulation in China.

作者肖兴志齐鹰飞李红娟

机构地区东北财经大学产业组织与企业组织研究中心东北财经大学富虹经济学院

出处《中国工业经济》 CSSCI 北大核心 2008年第5期67-76,共10页 China Industrial Economics

基金教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“中国煤矿安全规制研究”(批准号06JJD630002) 国家社会科学基金项目“中国垄断产业规制效果的评价研究”(批准号07BJY011) 教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划项目“安全规制理论与政策研究”(批准号NCET-05-0298)

关键词煤矿安全规制规制效果 Pehzman效应 coal mine safety regulation regulatory effects Peltzman effect

分类号 F406 [经济管理—产业经济]

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参考文献18

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二级参考文献35

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