摘要
本文采用1949—2005年我国渔业统计数据,借助于SPSS软件,对建国以来我国海洋捕捞产品产量的波动特点和影响因素进行了定量分析。研究结果表明:不同时期我国海洋捕捞产品产量的波动较大,但1999年前总体上呈增长态势,之后稳中有降;海洋捕捞投入的机动渔船数量和渔船功率对海洋捕捞产量均有显著的正向影响,而基于控制渔船数量和功率的"双控制度"的实施效果却不显著;"零增长制度"、专业劳动力投入和水产品平均价格对海洋捕捞产量变动的影响不显著,"休渔期制度"效应显著;各影响因素的作用在我国沿海11个省市区中有显著差异。
Through using China＇s fisheries statistical data during 1949 to 2005 and SPSS,this paper makes a quantitative analysis on volatility characteristics and the influence factors of China＇ s marine fishing production. The result shows that,the quantity and the power of marine fishing fleets have the significantly positive influence on marine fishing production;the effect of Double-control Policy isn＇t significant;Zero Increase Policy,the input of professional labors and the average price of aquatic products had no significant effect on marine fishing production; however, the effect of Fishing-prohibiting Period Policy is significant. The influences of various factors on marine fishing production of China＇s 11 coastal provinces or regions are different.
出处
《技术经济》
2008年第6期64-68,共5页
Journal of Technology Economics
关键词
海洋捕捞
影响因素
制度效应
marine fishing
influence factor
institutional effect
