摘要
本次农产品涨价呈现出幅度大、品种集中、时间长等特点。涨价发端于猪肉等部分农产品局部的供需缺口,整体涨价能量来自于经济高增长和货币溢出效应,生产成本和比较收益的变化是涨价的根源,而国际市场行情及国际上的投机行为加剧了涨价过程。研究认为,随着补栏生猪投放市场,价格将逐渐回归理性。当前,我们需要着重考虑如何吸取本次涨价的经验教训,构建稳定、安全的农产品生产保障体系。建议从政策上支持增加主要农产品供给,构建有利于稳定增加农产品供给的公共服务体系;继续加强宏观调控,控制流动性过剩;全面评估大豆、植物油产业状况;尽快制定适合我国的生物能源与农业生产协调发展战略。
The price rise in agricultural products recently takes on the characteristics of wide extent,concentrated assortments and long period of time.The beginning of price rise is determined by the partial gap between demand and supply for agricultural products,such as pork.The integral energy of price risecomes from the fast development of economy and the currency spillover effect.Changes on production cost and comparative receipts are the root of price rise,the quotations in international market and speculation accelerate the process of price rising.Research deems that,as the replenishing pigs put on the market,the price will return to rationality.At present,we need to mainly consider that how to learn a lesson from this price rise and how to build a stable and safe production protection system for agricultural products.
出处
《农业经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2008年第6期20-26,共7页
Issues in Agricultural Economy
