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中国环境库兹涅茨曲线的变化特征(1981-2004) 被引量:46

An Empirical Analysis on the Regional Discrepancy and Tendency of EKC in China(1981-2004)
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摘要 利用1981-2004年的面板数据,对中国环境库兹涅茨曲线的存在性及其区域差异性与趋同性特征及变化趋势进行了实证研究。研究结果表明,中国的部分污染物具有明显的EKC特征,转折点的收入低于发达国家的水平。然而,污染物EKC特征的短期性和对于模型设定形式的依赖性都表明,我们必须对中国环境污染问题作出理性的判断。同时,中国经济发展中存在的地区差距对于环境-收入关系具有一定的影响,它从另一角度说明中国环境库兹涅茨曲线的区域特征。 In this paper, we use the panel data from 1981 to 2004 to carry out an empirical analysis on the existence of the environmental Kuznets curve ( EKC), regional discrepancy and the trend of convergence, and finally, the tendency of change. The results of the empirical research show that some pollutants have obvious EKC characteristics, and the income of turning points is lower than the level of developed countries. However, the short-term EKC characteristics and the dependence on the model setting indicate that we must make rational judgment of the problem of Chinese environ- mental pollution. Meanwhile, China's economic development gap between regions has an impact on the environment-income relationship, which reflects the regional discrepancy of China's environmental Kuznets curve from another side.
出处 《西安交通大学学报(社会科学版)》 CSSCI 2008年第4期35-43,共9页 Journal of Xi'an Jiaotong University:Social Sciences
基金 国家"985工程"二期建设项目(07200701)
关键词 环境库兹涅茨曲线 环境污染 环境政策 区域差异 environmental Kuznets curve pollution environmental policy regional discrepancy
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