摘要
该文深入剖析了越南通货膨胀的发展和成因,认为此次越南乃至整个世界范围内的通胀失控,既有一国内部的原因,也有全球经济环境的原因。首先全球范围内石油价格和粮食价格的上涨都对越南的通胀失控影响显著;其次越南本国的粮食价格飞涨、流动性过剩和宏观调控失误也是重要原因;最后文章认为应该警惕越南通货膨胀的对外输出作用、全球货币政策需协调配合,同时在此次全球性通货膨胀的背景下,我国应该密切关注通胀效应的国际传递,谨慎对待宏观调控。
With a thorough analysis on the developments and sources of the inflation in Vietnam, this paper holds that reasons for the inflation in the Southeast Asian country and the world as a whole are both nation-specific and related to the global economic environment. Rise in oil and food prices worldwide has contributed to the inflation in Vietnam; skyrocketing food prices in the country, excessive liquidity and errors in macro adjustments are also major reasons. According to the author, special attention should be paid to the potential exported inflation from Vietnam; there should be coordination among monetary policies of different countries. Against the backdrop of global inflation, China ought to closely monitor the cross-border transmission of inflation effect and be cautious on macro adjustments.
出处
《中国货币市场》
2008年第6期42-46,共5页
China Money
关键词
越南
通货膨胀
货币政策
宏观调控
Vietnam, inflation, monetary policy, macroadjustments
