摘要
通过引入对冲概念和风险管理理论,作者建立了一个新的理论框架来分析中国能源安全问题,该框架涵盖中国能源安全政策研究中的传统战略和市场研究途径所没有涉及的一些复杂性。这种分析视能源对冲为一个具有自反性和或然性的战略,它同时包含了合作、竞争、摩擦、潜在的冲突和旨在使风险最小化及应对紧急状况等因素。结合国际关系理论中新自由主义与新现实主义的争论并考察"战略"与"市场"的分析途径,作者认为,中国能源安全研究应超越这些传统研究途径,安全化框架是理解中国能源安全政策的有效工具,但在解释中国能源安全政策时也存在局限。对冲概念与风险管理理论为理解中国能源安全政策提供一个更加透彻的视角。
This article seeks to establish a new theoretical framework that encapsulates some of the complexity that is lost in the void between traditional 'strategic' and/or 'market' approaches to China's energy security policy,by introducing the concept of hedging and the theory of risk management.The analysis applies the concept of hedging as a reflexive and contingent strategy that combines elements of cooperation,rivalry,friction and potential conflict simultaneously and which aims to minimise risk and insure against a state of emergency.The article first explores the 'strategic' and the 'market' approach and links this framework to the debate between neorealism and neoliberalism within International Relations theory.It is then argued that we need to transcend these traditional approaches,and the article examines the usefulness of the securitization framework for understanding China's energy security policy.Aiming to go beyond criticism of the neorealist and neoliberalist debate and pointing out that the securitisation framework remains insufficient in explaining China's energy security policy,the final section explores how the concept of hedging and the theory of risk management can provide a more nuanced understanding of China's energy security policy.
出处
《世界经济与政治》
CSSCI
北大核心
2008年第8期42-51,共10页
World Economics and Politics
