期刊文献+

基于权变理论的滑坡灾害监测预报思路探讨 被引量:3

Discuss on monitoring and forecasting of landslide disasters based on contingency theory
下载PDF
导出
摘要 文章简要评述了地质灾害基础理论与应用技术发展现状、滑坡灾害多种监测预报判据的利弊。利用综合信息处理决策方法,提出了基于权变理论的滑坡灾害监测预报新思路。分析了滑坡成灾的权变特征、环境因素和决策因素,建立了滑坡灾害预报决策概念模型。进一步探讨了在预报决策中应遵循的动态性及满意性原则,为提高地质灾害监测预报理论的科学性提供了新的理论依据与技术途径。 Basic theories and application technology condition of geological Disasters, advantages and disadvantages of moni- toring and prediction criterion for landslide disasters are reviewed. The new method of monitoring and predicting landslide disasters is proposed, and the new method is based on the Decision-making Method of information processing. The contin- gency characteristics, environmental factors and decision factors which cause Landslide disasters are analysed, and the con- cept model of monitoring and predicting landslide disasters is established. The dynamic and satisfactory principle that should followed in predicting and deciding are further discussed, this research provides theoretical basis and technical ways for us to do better in monitoring and predicting geological disasters.
作者 胡华 俞登荣
出处 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》 CSCD 2008年第3期38-41,45,共5页 The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control
基金 国家自然科学基金资助(50678155) 福建省高等学校新世纪优秀人才支持计划资助
关键词 权变理论 滑坡灾害 监测预报 预报判据 contingency theory landslide disasters monitoring and predicting prediction criterion
  • 相关文献

参考文献11

二级参考文献83

共引文献192

同被引文献26

引证文献3

二级引证文献6

相关作者

内容加载中请稍等...

相关机构

内容加载中请稍等...

相关主题

内容加载中请稍等...

浏览历史

内容加载中请稍等...
;
使用帮助 返回顶部