摘要
本文首先利用个案初步考察了国外对华反倾销措施的贸易限制效应和贸易转移效应,然后构建一个"两国三地"价格竞争模型对反倾销措施的这两种贸易效应从理论上进行分析,在此基础上,利用2002～2007年美国对华纺织品反倾销案例10位海关协调税则(HST)代码涉案产品的数据,就国外对华反倾销措施在不同阶段的贸易限制效应和贸易转移效应进行了实证检验。得出的主要结论有:美国对华反倾销措施导致我国涉案产品对美出口减少,具有负的贸易限制效应,同时使韩国、印度等竞争国同类产品对美出口增加,存在正的贸易转移效应。
First of all we study on the trade destruction effect and divertion effect of antidumping measures with some antidumping cases against China. Then we construct a ＂two countries three places＂ model to prove the two trade effects of antidumping measures. On this basis we empirically test the two trade effects of an- tidumping measures against China＇s products at the ten-digit HST level from 2002 to 2007. Our estimation yields significant evidence that US antidumping measures a- gainst China not only decrease China export flows to United States, but make ex- ports from the other countries such like Korea, India and so on to US increase. The antidumping measures agaist China both have negtive trade destruction effects and positive trade divertion effects.
出处
《数量经济技术经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2008年第10期75-86,共12页
Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(项目编号:70173012)
关键词
反倾销措施
贸易限制效应
贸易转移效应
Antidumping
Trade Destruction Effects
Trade Divertion Effects
