摘要
利用东莞市1996年～2006年东莞市国内生产总值以及三次产业产出的时间序列数据,建立双对数模型,测算了东莞市不同产业对经济增长的贡献.通过实证分析说明:扩大第二、第三产业在东莞市国内生产总值中的比重能引导东莞市经济的良性增长;90年代中期以来东莞市产业结构调整是以压缩第一产业空间,夺取第一产业资源为特征的,是一种主要依靠要素投入支持的粗放型经济增长模式,东莞有必要调整产业结构,转变现有的经济增长方式.
According to time series data of GDP and output of the three sectors of Dongguan from 1996 to 2006, a double logarithm model was established for calculating the contribution of industrial structure to the economic growth in Dongguan. Empirical studies show that expanding the proportion of the second and tertiary industries in the GNP of Dongguan can lead its economy into a sound cycle of development. The adjustment of industrial structure since the mid-1990s was featured by depredating resources from the first industry. Such extensive mode mainly depended on factors input. So it was necessary to adjust the industrial structure and transform the mode of economic development.
出处
《东莞理工学院学报》
2008年第6期12-14,共3页
Journal of Dongguan University of Technology
关键词
产业结构
经济增长
双对数模型
industrial structure
economic growth
double logarithm model
