摘要
在多变量VAR模型的基础上,分析改革开放以来中国发生通货膨胀的原因和特征。结果表明:居民消费、固定资本投资、政府支出、货币供给、利用外资规模等因素的扩张都会引起通货膨胀。中国发生的通货膨胀基本属于需求扩张型通货膨胀。与货币政策相比,财政政策对通货膨胀影响更大,而外资流入对中国通货膨胀的影响则十分有限。
On the basis of multi - variable VAR model, the causes and characters of Chinese inflation after its reforming is analyzed in this paper. The results show that the expansion of inflation was caused by household consumption, fixed capital investment, government spending, money supply, the scale of using foreign funds, and other factors. Together, the inflation is demand expansion inflation. On fiscal policy and monetary policies, fiscal policy has a greater impact on the inflation while external economy has a little bit impaction.
出处
《统计与信息论坛》
CSSCI
2009年第1期54-57,61,共5页
Journal of Statistics and Information
