摘要
本文应用时变参数状态空间模型,估计了样本区间影响经济增长各因素的产出弹性,并计算得到各因素对经济的贡献率。研究发现,时变参数方法估计要素产出弹性的精确度很高;中国的经济增长方式仍为粗放型模式,促进科技进步,实现经济增长方式的转变,是中国经济长期稳定增长的必由之路。
By time-varying parameter model, this paper estimates the output flexibility of the factors affecting economic growth, and calculates the various factors contributions to the economy. The study shows that time-varying parameter model has a high precision to the output elasticity of elements; the economic growth is still extensive, and promoting scientific and technological progress and realizing the transition of economic growth pattern is the only way for longterm stable growth.
出处
《统计教育》
2009年第2期52-55,共4页
Statistical education
关键词
时变参数模型
经济增长
产出弹性
time-varying parameter model
economic growth
output elasticity of elements
