摘要
分析了上尿路结石体外冲击波碎石（ＥＳＷＬ）治疗后复发的１１３例和无复发的１１２例病人，对可能导致复发的３２个因素分为５２个水平。应用Ｌｏｇｉｓｔｉｃ回归模型进行相关分析。结果显示：排石效果、ＥＳＷＬ次数、感染因素、代谢因素和性别是ＥＳＷＬ治疗后复发的危险因素，有显著性差异（Ｐ＜０．０１）。根据５个显著性指标，建立了上尿路结石ＥＳＷＬ治疗后预报数学模型（ＰＶ），为预测ＥＳＷＬ治疗的预后提供理论依据。将理论预后与实际预后进行比较，其敏感性、特异性、符合率分别为７７．６％、７６．１％、７６．９％。
The article analyses recurrence of 113 patients and nonrecurrence of 112 patients after ESWL. 32 factors with probably leading to recurrence were divided into 52 levels. Logistic restore model was used to pursue related analyses. The results showed that there were significant defferences (P<001) among result of discharging, times of ESWL, infection, metabolism and sex factors. According to the five significant indexes, we set up a predictable mathematical model for the prognosis of upper urinary stone after ESWL. Comparing theorical prognosis with actual prognosis, their sensibility, specificity and accordance rate were 776%, 761%, 769% respectively, which were nearly coincident.
出处
《解放军医学杂志》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
1998年第2期105-107,共3页
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army
