摘要
流通产业在国民经济中的作用,一直是流通学界研究的重要内容。本文应用灰色关联方法,对流通产业与国民经济三次产业的关系进行了动态分析,数据处理与史实分析表明:过去30年中,我国流通产业在国民经济中的角色经历了四个重要阶段;前三个阶段分别是三次产业推动阶段,2001年后为相对独立发展阶段;流通产业的发展路径是四个阶段的包络线。这一结论丰富了流通产业从末端产业向先导产业转型的理论内涵。
Circulation industry is an important part of national economy.The role that circulation industry plays in national economy is always in the center of arguments.Against with that most studies at present are static analysis,this paper tries to apply an approach of grey incidence into dynamic analysis on the relationship between circulation industry and the three industries.The paper demonstrates that the role of circulation industry in last three decades has undergone four phases:the first phase of circulation development from 1978 to 1984 is primary industry driven;the second from 1985 to 1996 is secondary industry driven;the third from 1997 to 2000 is tertiary industry driven and the fourth from 2001 to present is independently developing.The path of circulation industry's growth is just the envelope curve of these four phases.These conclusions enrich the theory of circulation as a forerunner.
出处
《财贸经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第2期115-120,共6页
Finance & Trade Economics
关键词
流通产业
灰色关联度
发展阶段
动态分析
Circulation Industry
Grey Relational Grade
Developing Phase
Dynamic Analysis
