摘要
未来20年中国将面临比较严峻的能源问题。中国能源生产能否支撑经济社会发展目标的实现,既取决于经济社会发展的客观规律,也取决于采取何种经济、能源、环境等方面的政策。中国在能源领域面临着一系列挑战:过度依赖化石燃料,对资源的可持续供应造成压力;经济社会发展对能源的依赖度仍然较大,提高能源效率虽然还有较大潜力,但其艰巨性要远大于前20年;可持续发展面临较大压力,尤其是如何满足小康社会对环境的要求,以及能源安全尤其是石油安全面临着巨大挑战。本世纪头20年的中国能源战略,应着眼于长远目标,实现发展方向和发展方式的"转型",实行"节能优先、结构多元、环境友好"的可持续能源发展战略,依靠体制创新、技术进步和实施国际化战略,力争实现GDP翻两番、能源消费翻一番的目标。为此,要在保障石油安全,实施政府推动节能优先战略的实施,推进体制改革与技术创新等方面给予相应的政策支持。
In the coming 20 years,China will faced with sever energy problems.If energy production can support economic development to fulfill its objectives,both objective rules of economic development and policies in economy,energy and environment are decisive factors.Over-dependence on fossil fuels causes pressure on resource sustainable supply.Development of economic society depends heavily on energy.The task of improving energetic efficiency becomes more difficult than 20 years ago.The important problem for sustainable development is how the environment satisfies well-off society.At the same time,energy secure especially oil secure is faced with sever challenge.In first 10 years of this century, Chinese energy strategy should fulfill transformation in development direction and development style,take 'energy-saving priority, structure diversification,sound relationship with environment'. Depending on system innovation,technology improvement and internationalization,work hard for the goal of triple GDP and double energy consumption.Therefore,related policy support of ensuring oil security,implementing energy-saving etc.should be provided by the government.
出处
《天然气技术与经济》
2004年第2期9-13,70,共6页
Natural Gas Technology and Economy
