摘要
利用广西沿海地区1991-2003年的热带气旋灾情资料,应用基于信息扩散理论的模糊数学方法,对广西沿海热带气旋灾害风险进行研究,得到不同灾害等级的风险水平,比较表明,概率风险理论估算值与实际灾害情况比较吻合,该方法为热带气旋灾害风险评价提供了一种有效的途径。
According to the tropical cyclone disaster data in the coastal area of Guangxi from 1991 to 2003, applied vague math method based on the information diffusion theory, the evaluation on tropical cyclone disaster was conducted to grade the disaster risk levels. The result proves the disaster risk evaluation in theory is very consistent with the actual disaster report.
出处
《气象研究与应用》
2009年第1期23-25,39,共4页
Journal of Meteorological Research and Application
关键词
信息扩散
热带气旋
灾害风险
评价
Information diffusion
tropical cyclone
disaster risk
evaluation
