摘要
根据福清县1966～1980年15年间流行性乙型脑炎(乙脑)疫情资料,应用电子计算机作逐步判别来建立预报其流行程度的判别函数。选入判别函数中的指标,经统计学检验,均有显著意义。回代考核符合率=93％,并用所得判别函数,对1985～1987年乙脑流行程度预测,结果与实际完全相符。
This paper establishes a discriminatory function to detect prevalent level of epidemic encephalitis B in Fuqing county.Data is collected from 1966 to 1980.The variables selected for the discriminatory function are significant by statistics test.The proportion of correctness in review is 93％.we detected the prevalent level of epidemic encephalitis B from 1985 to 1987 and the result is coincidence.Implied our method may be useful in practical research work.
关键词
乙型脑炎
流行病学
逐步判别
stepwise discriminatory analysis
prevalent level
discriminatory function
epidimic encephalitis B
