摘要
文章以局部均衡为基础,建立校准模型,从产业层面测算了中韩自由贸易区的建立对两国贸易流量的影响。模拟的结果表明:如果中韩不建立自由贸易区,那么中韩贸易将会较大程度的受到韩美自由贸易区贸易转移带来的影响;如果中韩建立自由贸易区则更有利于两国比较优势的发挥。
This paper, based upon partial equilibrium, establishes a global simulation model to predict the trade flow effect of tariff cutting between China and South Korea at the industry level. The result shows that on the basis of having established Korea-US FTA, if China and Korea do not reach agreement on FTA, part of the trade between China and Korea will be replaced by the trade between US and Korea as a result of the effect of trade diversion. China-Korea FTA will benefit both countries in exerting their competitive advantages.
出处
《国际经贸探索》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第5期4-8,共5页
International Economics and Trade Research
基金
广东省2007年哲学社会科学“十一五”规划课题(07E05)
广东外语外贸大学科研创新团队项目(GW2006-TB-011)
