摘要
为认清我国安全生产形势现状与发展趋势,作者应用比较研究和预测分析方法,回顾总结了我国生产安全事故历史演变特点,对事故死亡人数、十万死亡率和重大事故发生频率等安全生产指标作了近中期预测模拟分析;结合我国经济社会发展现状,提出了中国安全生产大趋势已进入拐点的判断,并建议在新的历史机遇面前,对安全生产监管模式做重大调整,推进安全生产形势根本性好转,实现安全发展。
In order to analyze the status and trend of work safety in China, the features of the evolution of occupational fatal accidents occurreds were reviewed and summarized by comparative study. The recent and medium-term values of indicates about work safety were forecasted and analyzed such as death number, mortality of one hundred thousand workers, rate of major accidents more than 30 fatalities by simulating. Combining with the status of economic and society development, the view was put forward that the work safety trend in China has entered the turning point. It was advised that the model of administration of work safety should be greatly improved to promote fundamental turn for the better of work safety situation and realize the target of security development in the new historical opportunity before us.
出处
《中国安全生产科学技术》
CAS
北大核心
2009年第3期5-12,共8页
Journal of Safety Science and Technology
基金
国家软科学研究计划项目(编号:2003DGQ3B196)资助
关键词
安全生产
生产安全事故
形势
拐点
work safety
occupational fatal accidents
situation
turning point
