摘要
本文利用1988—2003年CHNS的5轮农村家庭收入调查数据,对中国农村贫困的动态发展进行了经验分析。研究发现:中国农村贫困的状态更多的是一种暂时性的贫困,而且中国农村存在着较高程度的脱离贫困与进入贫困并存的现象;不同收入阶层的贫困(或非贫困)家庭在脱离(或进入)贫困的可能性上存在明显的差别,同时绝大多数的贫困家庭在脱贫后都进入了较高的收入阶层,而大多数情况下非贫困家庭在进入贫困后都分布在离贫困线较近的收入阶层;贫困家庭在脱贫后并不具有较强的维持非贫困状态的能力,同时,刚进入贫困的家庭与之前一直处于贫困状态的家庭在脱贫的机会上并没有明显的差异。
Based on the five sets of panel data of rural household incomes extracted from the CHNS,this paper analyzes income mobility and poverty dynamics in rural China from 1988 to 2003.The major findings are:First,the state of poverty in rural China was mostly temporary poverty,meanwhile,the phenomenon of exiting from and slipping into poverty was very common;Second,there existed a significant difference on the possibility of exiting from or slipping into poverty between different income levels household in poverty or non-poverty,and the poverty household mostly located at high-income class after exiting from poverty,while the non-poverty household mostly located near the poverty line after slipping into poverty;Third,the poverty household didn't had strong capacity of maintaining the state of non-poverty after exiting from poverty,meanwhile,there weren't obvious difference on the chance of exiting from poverty between the household slipping into poverty and the household had been in poverty long before.
出处
《农业经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第6期73-80,共8页
Issues in Agricultural Economy