摘要
利用IPAC模型对我国未来中长期的能源与温室气体排放情景进行分析。设计了3个排放情景,介绍了情景的主要参数和结果,以及实现减排所需的技术,同时探讨中国实现低碳情景所需要的发展路径。作为一个经济快速增长国家,中国未来的能源需求和相应的温室气体排放将快速明显增加。中国要实现低碳发展路径,必须从现在就采取适合于低碳发展的政策,着重发展具有国际领先地位的重大清洁能源开发、转换和利用技术,大力发展可再生能源和核电技术,提高公众意识,使低碳生活方式成为普遍行为,逐步实施能源税和碳税。
This article analyzes China＇s long and medium-term energy and greenhouse gas （GHG） emission scenarios by using an IPAC model.The article establishes three scenarios and describes the main parameters and analytic results for each scenario as well as technologies needed to reduce emissions.The article also dis- cusses the roadmap China needs to follow to achieve a low-carbon scenario.Generated by rapid economic growth,China＇s energy demand and GHG emissions are expected to grow considerably in the next few decades.To take a low-carbon growth path,China must act now,including adopting policies suited to low-car- bon growth,developing globally advanced technologies for developing,converting and utilizing clean energy ,developing renewable energy and nuclear power expertise,raising public awareness to low-carbon life style and gradually imposing energy tax and carbon tax.
出处
《中外能源》
CAS
2009年第6期1-7,共7页
Sino-Global Energy
关键词
排放情景
能源
气候变化
模型
低碳发展
emission scenarios
energy
climate change
model
low-carbon growth path
