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中国经济高速增长的逻辑与面临的选择 被引量:10

The Logic of the Rapid Economic Growth in China and Its Choices
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摘要 中国经济三十年的高速增长大致上是循着这样的逻辑向前推进的:在准确地把握世界政治与经济格局发生了有利于中国回归世界经济体系的基础上,及时地调整社会经济发展的战略,坚定不移地推行对内改革和对外开放的国策,从而成功地抓住了中国伟大复兴的历史性机遇。在对内改革和对外开放基本国策的综合作用下,在中国的国土上形成了两股推动经济高速增长的潮流,那就是闻名于世的"民工潮"和世界发展史上罕见的"外资潮"。两者的结合,造就了中国近三十年的高速增长,创造了中国的经济奇迹。中国经济的高速增长有效地解决了历史遗留下来的贫困问题,中国国民经济总量在世界上的排名也不断上升。但是,伴随中国经济高速增长而来的新问题也随之而来。这些新问题概括起来集中反映在内外两个方面:从内部经济看,主要是收入差距的扩大;从外部经济看,主要是对外贸易依存度持续上升。产生这些问题的根源主要在于两个方面:其一是中国的改革还不够彻底;其二是中国的经济与社会发展还处在工业化的进程中。因此,可以把目前所取得的成就与发生的问题都概括为改革开放的"动态成功"。只有如此,我们才作出继续深化对内改革和扩大对外开放的正确选择;否则就有可能导致改革倒退、开放度逐渐下降的错误选择。 During the past three decades, China's economy has been growing rapidly through a path as follow: Taking advantage of the favorable changes in the world political and economical structures which pushed China back to the world economic system, China adjusted its social economic development strategies appropriately and promoted its reform and opening-up policies firmly, and as a result, China has successfully seized the historical opportunity of rejuvenation. The combined action of reform and opening-up formed two forces that were driving the rapid economic growth in China, namely the well-known "rural labor migration" and the "foreign capital flow" which was rare even in the world development history. And the combination of the two forces led to the miracle of China's rapid economic growth during the latest 30 years. On one hand, the high economic growth rate effectively solved its poverty problem left over by history and China's GDP ranking in the world kept rising. On the other hand, it also brought problems, mainly in two aspects: the widening domestic income gap and the increasing foreign trade dependence degree, because, firstly the reforms in China is not deepen enough, and secondly its economic and social development is still in the process of industrialization. To sum up, all these achievements and problems so far can be concluded as the "dynamic success" of our basic policies, and it can help to make the right choice to carry on deepening reforms and widening opening-up.
作者 华民
出处 《学术月刊》 CSSCI 北大核心 2009年第7期51-61,共11页 Academic Monthly
基金 国家教育部人文社会科学研究课题"经济全球化与中国改革开放的历史进程和基本经验"(项目编号:2008JYTW045)的阶段性研究成果
关键词 金本位 私有化运动 放松政府管制 改革开放 贸易依存度 收入差距 动态成功 gold standard, privatization, deregulation, reform and opening-up, foreign trade dependence degree, income gap, dynamic success
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参考文献10

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