摘要
文章循序对国际金融风暴对我国出口贸易及制造业就业的影响进行定量评估。首先通过经验模型定量分析我国出口贸易的决定因素,根据主要贸易伙伴经济形势变化的预测值定量评估我国出口贸易受到的影响。然后,通过对我国出口与就业历史数据的经验分析,评估我国出口增长的变化对制造业就业的影响,并提出相关政策建议。
This paper quantitatively assesses the impact of the global financial crisis on China＇s exports and employment in the manufacturing industry. It starts with a quantitative analysis, using the empirical model to find out the determining factors of China＇s exports, and using economic forecast data from major trading partners to evaluate their impact on China＇s exports. Then it utilizes China＇s historical data on exports and employment to assess the impact of export changes on employment in the manufacturing industry, and finally makes some policy suggestions.
出处
《中国货币市场》
2009年第7期46-52,共7页
China Money
基金
上海财经大学<国际金融危机对中国经济的影响及中国金融风险研究>应急课题的阶段性成果
上海财经大学现代金融研究中心<妥善应对国际金融风险对策研究>课题的资助
高校特聘教授(东方学者)岗位计划的支持
关键词
国际金融风暴
出口
就业
global financial crisis, exports, employment
