摘要
本文通过将门限自回归模型、面板数据的单位根检验以及bootstrap模拟计算临界值3种方法相结合,运用非线性两区制TAR模型检验我国东部、中部和西部3个地理区域内28个省份人均GDP面板数据的实际收敛性特征,进而探察我国不同地区的经济增长路径收敛情况以及不同区域间的经济差异状况。我们发现东部、中部和西部人均GDP数据分别具有较为显著的收敛性特征;东部与中部在改革开放以前经济增长路径完全收敛,而自改革开放以来表现出部分收敛的特征;东部与西部在改革开放以前经济增长路径部分收敛,而在改革开放以后则呈现出明显的发散态势,这说明改革开放以后东部省份与中、西部省份的经济增长差距具有扩大趋势。
By the combination of the use of the threshold regression mode,the panel data unit root tests and the computation of critical values by bootstrap simulation,and by the use of the Tar Model of a non-linear framework,we have examined the characteristics of the actual convergence of the per-capita GDP panel data of 28 provinces in East,Central and West China,and then,explored the convergence of the road to the economic growth of China's different regions and surveyed the economic differences among various regions.We have discovered that the per-capita GDP data of East,Central and West China exhibit apparent characteristics of convergence,that the road to the economic growth of East and Central China was completely convergent before the reform and opening to the outside world(TRAOTTOW),that this road has displayed the characteristics of partial convergence,that,in East and West China,the economic growth road was partly convergent before TRAOTTOW and this road has had the obvious tendency towards divergence since TRAOTTOW,and that the above fact shows that the economic growth gap between East China and Central and West China has had the tendency towards widening since TRAOTTOW.
出处
《管理世界》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第10期42-50,共9页
Journal of Management World
基金
教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(08JJD790133)
教育部人文社会科学研究应急项目(2009JYJR014)
吉林大学"985工程"--经济分析与预测哲学社会科学创新基地和吉林大学"985工程"--研究生创新基金重点项目(20081101)资助
