摘要
利用时负荷的周期性，分别建立了灰色模型和自适应滤波模型。按照组合预测理论，对两种模型进行组合以提高预测精度。经实例验证，结果令人满意。
In view of periodicity of the hourly load, grey model and adaptive filter model for electric load forecast are set up respectively. Based on combined forecast theories, the authors combine grey model with adaptive filter model to improve the forecast accuracy. The calculation result of a practical system shows that the forecast accuracy is satisfactory.
出处
《电网技术》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
1998年第9期43-45,48,共4页
Power System Technology
基金
电力新星科研基金
关键词
灰色预测模型
自适应滤波
负荷预测
电力系统
Grey forecast model Adaptive filter forecast model Combines forecast Weight number Variance
