摘要
本文以安徽1987-2007样本数据为例,利用戈德史密斯理论中的金融相关比率指标测算出农村金融缺口,并对金融融量以及缺口的动态特征进行了分析。根据对农村金融缺口的ARMA预测,论文得出了农村金融缺口巨大且存在不断扩大的趋势。文章最后提出了一些改善农村金融缺口的对策建议。
Taking the sample data of Anhui from 1987 to 2007 as example, the paper applies the financial related ratio indicator in Goldsmith＇s theory to calculate the rural financial gap, and analyzes the dynamic characteristics of the financial capacity and gap. Based on forecasting to the rural financial gap, the paper obtains that the rural financial gap is great and the tendency is increasingly expanded. Finally the paper puts forward several related policy suggestions to improve the gap.
出处
《统计教育》
2009年第11期11-17,共7页
Statistical education
基金
安徽省教育厅人文社科基金课题(2009SK181)
安徽省教育厅人文社科基地重点课题(2009SK169ZD)阶段性成果
