摘要
巴拉萨——萨缪尔森效应较好地解释了发展中国家货币相对发达国家货币而言,市场汇率为什么会对其购买力平价产生系统性的低估。但是,这并不表明可以直接运用该理论来解释现实中发展中国家货币汇率的水平。本文试图从理论和现实观察两个角度对该理论进行修正和拓展,以便对人民币汇率当前水平和今后政策有一个更切合实际的判断。
Ahhough the Balassa-Samuelson effects hypothesis can provide a theoretical explanation for the systematic undervaluation of developing country's nominal exchange rate to its purchase power parity, it can't he directly used to predict developing country's exchange rate and its movement in real life. In order to make more practical and precise prediction of RMB's exchange rate and its policy implication, this paper tries to revise and develop the hypothesis both theoretically and practically.
出处
《金融研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第10期1-6,共6页
Journal of Financial Research
基金
教育部重大攻关项目"人民币均衡汇率问题研究"(项目批准号: 05JZD00012)的阶段性成果