摘要
本文通过对国际石油定价机制、国际石油市场及石油价格的分析,将国际石油价格的演变分为5个阶段。通过对世界石油市场价格各个阶段的历史解读看到,供求关系是石油价格变化的基本决定因素,成本变化构成石油价格的基本方面,美元因素对油价的影响力不容忽视,当前的石油价格和市场体系存在投机炒作的行为;另外,不确定因素经常引起油价短期波动,如战争、自然灾害、事故以及其他突发事件。这些因素共同影响并左右着国际石油价格的变化。
This paper, based on the rating mechanism, markets and prices of global oil, classifies the evolution of global oil prices into five stages. According to the global oil market prices in every stages, the supply-demand relation is a basic factor to determine the oil price. The cost plays a key role in oil price. However, the US dollar has a big influence over the global oil price. The current oil price and market is manipulated. Moreover, some dubious factors, such as wars, natural disasters, accidents and other sudden outbursts, can also lead to a short fluctuation in oil prices. All these factors mutually exert an influence and control over the global oil prices.
出处
《资源与产业》
北大核心
2009年第5期35-42,共8页
Resources & Industries
基金
中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项资金:全球石油市场定价机制与价格趋势研究(K0928)
中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项资金:全球能源战略研究(ywf60702)
中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项资金:我国铁物质流研究(k0720)
地质大调查项目(1212010733713)
