摘要
利用全国省级动态面板数据,采用系统广义矩估计方法,对中国对外贸易的就业效应进行实证研究。研究表明,出口对中国的就业有正的影响,出口依存度每增长10%,会带动就业增长0.35%;进口对中国的就业有负的影响,进口依存度每增长10%,就业会减少0.19%。经济增长对扩大就业有重要影响,但资本存量对就业没有明显影响。阐述了实证发现的政策含义。
An empirical study is made on the employment effect of China＇ s foreign trade by using provincial dynamic panel data and the method of GMM estimation. The result shows that export has positive impact on China＇s employment, with 10% increase of the export dependency leads to 0. 35% increase of the employment; while import has negative impact on China＇ s employment, with 10% ＇increase of import dependency leads to 0. 19% decrease of the employment. In addition, economic growth plays a key role in the expansion of China＇ s employment, but capital stock has no significant impact on it. The paper also points out the policy implications of the empirical results.
出处
《云南财经大学学报》
北大核心
2009年第6期25-31,共7页
Journal of Yunnan University of Finance and Economics
基金
国家科技部国家科技支撑计划项目(2006BAD20B05-5)
关键词
贸易
就业
出口
进口
广义矩
中国
Trade
Employments
Export
Import
Generalized Method of Moments
China
