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宏观调控目标的“十一五”分析与“十二五”展望 被引量:25

On the Macro-control Objectives of the 11th Five-Year Plan and the Perspectives for the 12th Five-Year Plan
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摘要 本文旨在对我国"十一五"时期宏观经济调控目标的实现情况进行分析,对"十二五"时期的经济增长目标提出相应的政策建议和论证。全文共分四部分:首先,回顾"十一五"规划中有关宏观调控的指导原则和主要目标。其次,说明这些宏观调控目标的实现情况。再次,对"十二五"时期经济增长目标提出政策建议:在"十二五"规划中,经济增长目标的设定可有三种方法:一种是,仍沿用过去的习惯,把目标值设定得比较低;另一种是,可以设定目标区间,即以潜在经济增长率为基准的适度经济增长区间;再一种是,不是设定单一的五年固定不变的目标值,也不是笼统地设定一个目标区间,而是对未来五年中的各年设定不同的、可以反映经济波动趋势的目标值。最后,本文对这些政策建议进行具体的测算与分析。 Our paper mainly examines the implementation of macro-control objectives of the 1 l th Five-Year Plan and provides the policy suggestions as well as the relevant proof. The paper 1 ) Retrospects on the directive principles and main objectives of macro- control set by the l lth Five-Year Plan. 2) Presents the implementation of macro-control objectives. 3 ) Provides the policy suggestions for the economic growth objective of the 12th Five-Year Plan which includes three alternatives: first, set an relatively low objective as before; second, set a objective interval centering on the potential economic growth; or third, set different growth objectives in different years of the 12th Five-Year Plan in order to reflect the growth trend and fluctuations. 4) Offers the measurement and analyses on the above policy suggestions.
出处 《经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2010年第2期4-17,共14页 Economic Research Journal
基金 中国社会科学院重大课题“中国经济重大问题跟踪分析”总课题中“宏观经济调控”分课题的最终研究成果
关键词 “十一五”规划 “十二五”规划 宏观调控目标 经济增长目标 11th Five-Year Plan 12th Five-Year Plan Macro-control Objectives Economic Growth Objective
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