摘要
根据环境库兹涅茨曲线原理,选取福州市1990年-2008年的经济与环境数据,运用EXCEL软件,分析福州市经济因子与环境因子的相关关系,并建立模拟经济因子与环境因子之间动态回归模型.通过人均GDP污染排放量模型发现,福州市污染排放量并不符合环境库兹涅茨曲线的倒"U"模型。工业废水排放量呈现正"U"型。工业废气排放量与工业固废产生量呈现倒"U"型的左侧部分,转折点尚未出现。环境质量并非随着GDP的增长而增高,产业结构调整、环境政策实施以及工业化进程等因素是决定环境质量的主导因素。
Based on the Environmental Kuznets Curve and in the light of the economical and environmental data from 1990 - 2008 in Fuzhou City, the interrelations between economical and environmental factors were analyzed and the dynamic regression models were also established by using Excel software. By the models of pollution emissions in relation to GDP per capita, they show that the relation of economic growth and environmental pollution in Fuzhou City does not conform to the typical shape of EKC. The waste water emissions curve takes the shape of U. The curves of waste gas emissions and solid waste productions are both taking the shape of the left part of inverted U, aral have not reached their turning points yet. In conclusion, the environmental quality can＇t advance automatically with GDP growth. The adjustment of industry structure, implement.of environmental policy and industrialization process are all the key factors environmental quality.
出处
《环境科学与管理》
CAS
2010年第2期62-65,89,共5页
Environmental Science and Management
关键词
环境库兹涅茨曲线
经济增长
环境污染
福州市
environmental kuznets curve
economic growth
environmental pollution
Fuzhou city
