摘要
山东省是中国经济发展最快的省区之一,但随着经济增长的不断推进所积累的矛盾和失衡水平也逐渐提高,经济发展的可持续性日趋降低。为考察山东省经济发展的现状,明确山东省经济结构中存在的问题,该文拟根据文献[1]的方法,构建省域经济结构失衡程度指标体系。考虑到省域经济的特殊性,确定了包括产业结构、投资消费结构、金融结构、省内经济结构和国际收支结构5大类共17个指标作为基本指标体系,对近10年以来山东省经济结构失衡程度进行了测试,并且利用相同的指标体系对广东、江苏、浙江等东部代表性省区以及全国的整体结构失衡水平进行了测度和比较分析,明确了山东省经济结构失衡的绝对水平和相对水平。结果表明:山东省经济结构失衡现象较为突出,经济发展的可持续性日趋降低。本文建议山东省加快第三产业发展,理顺投资与消费的关系,提高国民经济中消费所占比重,平衡省内各市际间经济发展水平才能真正缓解经济结构失衡状况,增强可持续发展的动力。
Ahhough Shandong is one of the most rapidly developing provinces in China, as the economy continuously grows, the imbalance structure and other potential problems accumulated. Those problems may threaten the sustainability of economic development. In order to examine the current status of the economic development and identify the problems in the economic structure of Shandong province, according to the methodology of Xiang （2008）, the article constructs the indicator system to test the imbalance of the economic structure of Shandong province. Taking account of the special property of provincial economy, this article takes seventeen indicators as the basic indicator system, including industrial structure, investment and consumption structure, financial structure, inter-province economic structure and international balance of payments, etc. Based on this basic indicator system, this article tests the extent of imbalance of the economic structure of Shandong province, and compares this with those of representative provinces in east China including Guangdong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, etc., as well as the whole country; therefore the article obtains both the absolute level and comparative level of the imbalance of economic structure of Shandong. The results show that the imbalance of economic structure in Sbandong is much more serious, and the sustainability of economic development is therefore decreasing. On the basis of these results, this article suggests that Shandong should accelerate the development of tertiary industry＇, proporiately deal with the relationship between investment and consumption, increase the weight of consumption in national economy, and balance the levels of economic development across different cities in the province. Only through these solutions, can the imbalanced status of economic structure be alleviated, and the driving force of sustainable development be enhanced.
出处
《中国人口·资源与环境》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第3期38-43,共6页
China Population,Resources and Environment
基金
教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地吉林大学数量经济研究中心2007年度招标课题(项目号:07JJD790132)
山东省"十二五"规划前期论证课题"山东省转变经济发展方式的思路和对策"的阶段性成果
关键词
经济结构
失衡
比较
economic structure
imbalance
comparison
