摘要
利用1999—2007年中国31个省市的入境旅游人次、国际旅游(外汇)收入、国内旅游人次和国内旅游收入四个指标的面板数据衡量旅游业发展水平,并运用异质面板协整方法检验中国省际旅游业发展与经济增长之间的关系。研究发现:国内旅游与入境旅游的发展对全国及所有省市的经济增长均有显著的正效应,其中,入境旅游对经济增长的促进作用更显著;与此同时,经济增长和入境旅游人次、国际旅游(外汇)收入和国内旅游收入存在长期单向Granger因果关系,表明经济增长也推动着入境旅游和国内旅游的发展。
In this paper, the panel data of inbound tourism arrivals, international tourism （foreign exchange） revenue, domestic tourist arrivals and domestic tourism revenue of 31 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities in China's Mainland in 1999-2007 was used as four indicators for measure of the level of tourism development, and use, heterogeneous panel cointegration method was used to examine the relationship between provincial tourism development and economic growth in China's Mainland. Results show that, both the development of domestic tourism and inbound tourism have a significant positive effect on the economic growth of the country and all provinces across, among which inbound tourism has a more significant role in promoting economic growth; meanwhile, there is an unidirectional causality from economic growth to receiving tourist arrivals, international tourism （foreign exchange） revenue and domestic tourism revenue in the long run, which indicates that the economic growth also promoted the development of inbound tourism and domestic tourism.
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第2期311-316,共6页
Economic Geography
基金
国家旅游局2009年规划项目(编号:09TAAG013)资助
关键词
旅游业发展
经济增长
异质面板协整
tourism development
economic growth
heterogeneous panel cointegration
