摘要
对外直接投资(FDI)与进出口贸易的关系因各国的具体国情不同、各学者的研究方法的不同而呈现出显著的差异。文章采用协整理论分析中国的对外直接投资与进出口(1995-2007年)的关系,得出对外直接投资与出口、进口在短期存在替代效应,在长期存在互补效应,并计量出中国FDI与出口和中国FDI与进口的误差修正模型。最后,提出了相关政策建议。
The relations between Chinese FDI and foreign trade( import and export trade) depend on the spe- cific conditions of different countries. Various scholars made significantly different results as they bad used different methods . This article, taking use of cointegration theory, analyzes the relations between Chinese FDI and foreign trade (1995 -2007) , and the outcome is : there are substitution effect in long-term and complementary effect in short-term, besides, we make the error correction models both of Chinese FDI with import and Chinese FDI with export . At last, it' s the conclusion analysis and policy recommendations.
出处
《重庆大学学报(社会科学版)》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第1期59-64,共6页
Journal of Chongqing University(Social Science Edition)
基金
教育部留学回国人员启动基金"中国对外直接投资绩效与对策研究"(102063820080009)