发达国家不同发展阶段碳排放与经济增长的因果关系分析被引量：20

Carbon Emission and GDP:Causality Relationship in 6 Developed Countries

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摘要以气候变暖为主要特征的全球气候变化已成为21世纪人类共同面临的最重大问题之一,探讨社会经济增长与碳排放之间的关系就成为国际全球气候变化研究的焦点问题。文章采用探讨二者变量关系的协整分析和格兰杰因果检验方法,对不同发展阶段下6个典型发达国家的碳排放与经济增长之间的因果关系进行研究。结果表明:6个典型发达国家的经济增长和碳排放之间具有长期协整关系;不同的国家在不同的历史发展阶段,碳排放与经济增长的格兰杰因果关系是不同的;即使在相同的发展阶段,碳排放与经济增长的格兰杰因果关系也不同。 Climate change has become the most significant environment and development challenge to human society in the 21st century. In this trend, to explore the relationship between human economic activities and carbon emissions has become an international focus. So this paper will employ the methods of coiontegration analysis and causality research to study the relationship between carbon emission and GDP in 6 developed countries in different historical periods. The result shows： the presence of cointegrating relationship between the variables concerned for all the six countries since the industrial revolution; the causality relationship between carbon emission and GDP in different countries is different from each other in different historical periods.

作者陈茜苏利阳汝醒君

机构地区中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所中国科学技术大学管理学院

出处《生态经济》北大核心 2010年第4期52-55,共4页 Ecological Economy

基金中科院全球气候变化与生态项目群项目(KZCX2-YW-Q1-11) 中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向项目(kzcx2-yw-325) 国家自然科学基金重点项目(70733005)

关键词碳排放经济增长历史阶段协整性因果关系 carbon emissions economic growth historical period cointegration causal

分类号 F832.51 [经济管理—金融学] X22 [环境科学与工程—环境科学]

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